Keith Stewart tabbed Daniel Berger at 70-1, suggesting he’s less burdened by the media spotlight this week than he was at the prior event. Stewart emphasized Berger’s elite off-the-tee game, reliable long irons, and over five strokes gained per start recently as the formula for a potential upset at Bay Hill.

Christopher Powers also returned to Daniel Berger at 70-1, citing three consecutive top-25 finishes, plus a solid 13th at Bay Hill in a previous start. Powers expects his all-around consistency to stack up against a stout Arnold Palmer Invitational field.

Keith Stewart expressed concerns about Daniel Berger's performance at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, suggesting that the weight of expectations may hinder his play. Stewart noted that last week, when Berger was a favorite, he collapsed on Sunday despite having a chance to win the tournament. He believes that the pressure of being expected to perform well affects Berger negatively. Stewart suggested that since no one expects Berger to do anything this week, he might perform better, but he remains cautious in recommending him for DFS lineups.

Chris Breece is backing Daniel Berger (+175) for a top-20 finish. Berger has been on a hot streak since returning from injury, and Breece sees no sign of him slowing down this week.

Byron Lindeque recommends Daniel Berger as a strong option this week, noting that Berger has increased his ball speed significantly, now reaching 183 mph off the tee. Known previously for a 170 mph ball speed, Berger's added distance could give him a new gear at Bay Hill, where length off the tee is beneficial. Byron also mentioned that Berger has played well at similar courses like the Honda Classic, and his enhanced driving capability could translate to better performance at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Alex Hunter noted Daniel Berger’s three top-five finishes across eight appearances at PGA National, including a runner-up in 2015. Berger has gained strokes in every major category through back-to-back starts, highlighted by finishes of T21, MC, second, and T12 in his last four tournaments. Hunter views Berger as worth the elevated DFS salary given his past course success and current ball-striking form.

Patrick McDonald pointed out that Daniel Berger has battled to regain top form after nearly losing his PGA Tour card, highlighting a runner-up finish at the RSM Classic and another second place showing in Scottsdale. Berger quietly added a top-15 at the Genesis Invitational, and given his past close calls at PGA National, McDonald sees a strong chance for Berger to return to the winner’s circle.

Pat Mayo recommended fading Daniel Berger at 22-1, expressing concern that Berger’s odds are too short given his recent form. Mayo cautioned bettors that the public might be overestimating Berger’s readiness for a top result this soon.

Keith Stewart warned bettors off Daniel Berger at 22-1, cautioning that many are expecting him to replicate past success at PGA National. Stewart noted Berger’s lack of Florida wins, struggles to close out here in 2022, and numerous missed cuts in the Sunshine State.

Stephen Hennessey touted Daniel Berger at 25-1, asserting that Berger’s iron and off-the-tee prowess appear fully restored. Hennessey emphasized Berger’s No. 1 standing in strokes-gained/total at PGA National historically and his low ball flight, which suits the Florida winds for a strong showing.

Andy Lack took Daniel Berger at +100 in a head-to-head versus Taylor Pendrith, pitting his pick to win against his fade. Lack cited Berger’s strong play at Phoenix and Torrey, combined with a proven record on southeastern Bermuda courses that downplay driving distance.

Len Hochberg highlighted Daniel Berger’s appeal, citing three top-5 finishes at PGA National in past years and a solid start to the 2025 season with finishes of T2, T12, and T21. Hochberg pointed out Berger’s fourth-place ranking in strokes gained off-the-tee and 14th in bogey avoidance, making him an ideal fit for this challenging layout.

Steve Bamford tipped Daniel Berger at 25/1 for the Cognizant Classic, citing Berger’s four PGA Tour wins, familiarity with Florida greens, and strong local ties as a Jupiter resident. Bamford underscored Berger’s runner-up finish at the RSM Classic to regain his Tour card, plus top-25 results this season including 2nd at TPC Scottsdale. Past course form includes runner-up in 2014, plus additional top-5 finishes (2020 and 2022) at PGA National. Noting Berger’s proven ability to excel on shorter courses and his past U.S. Open successes, Bamford expects a big week with Masters qualification on the line.

John Schwarb said he is picking Daniel Berger at +2800, noting Berger’s Florida roots and strong form, including a T2 at the WM Phoenix Open and a 12th-place finish at the Genesis. Schwarb cited Berger’s two fourths and a runner-up finish at the Champion course, as well as his comfort in potential windy conditions.

Cody Williams said he is picking Daniel Berger at +2800, pointing to Berger’s three top-21 finishes in his last four starts, including a runner-up at Phoenix and 12th at the Genesis. Williams highlighted Berger’s strong approach play, steady driving accuracy, and success in windy conditions.

Dave Tindall recommended betting on Daniel Berger at 20/1, highlighting Berger's recent runner-up finish at the WM Phoenix Open where he led the field in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green and was third in Driving Accuracy. Tindall noted Berger's renewed health and confidence plus his strong record at PGA National, which includes multiple top-four finishes. As a Florida resident familiar with the course, Berger has repeatedly spoken about how comfortable he feels at this event, making him a prime pick for bettors seeking value.

Sia Nejad emphasized Daniel Berger’s appeal in the 9k range, highlighting his all-around gains in the key strokes-gained categories. Nejad noted that Berger’s consistent ball striking and Florida roots position him well for strong play at the Cognizant Classic. Sia added that Berger’s ability to rack up birdies while avoiding big numbers is especially valuable on a difficult course set-up, suggesting he could vie for a title in this field.

Jack Milko said Daniel Berger will snap his four-year winless drought at the Cognizant Classic. Milko noted Berger’s strong track record at PGA National, pointing to his 2015 playoff loss and multiple top-five finishes, as well as the fact he grew up nearby in Plantation, Florida. Berger has also rebounded from a lengthy back injury layoff, recently finishing second at the WM Phoenix Open and placing 12th at the Genesis Invitational. Milko emphasized Berger’s fourth-ranked strokes gained tee-to-green metric and consistent play as clear indicators that he is a solid betting choice to contend this week.

Rick Gehman revealed Daniel Berger as the top-ranked player in his custom model, highlighting his strong weighted strokes gained total and proven track record in Florida. Gehman suggested that Berger’s skill set and success on tough courses make him an ideal betting target this week.

Nick Borrman identified Daniel Berger as a solid outright pick based on Berger’s strong comeback from an extended injury layoff. He noted Berger’s five top-21 finishes in his last eight starts, including a 12th-place showing at the Genesis Invitational. Berger also has three top-four finishes at this event, suggesting familiarity and confidence on this course. Borrman believes Berger has the mental strength to contend again this week.

Mike Glasscott said Daniel Berger should be on everyone’s radar for the Cognizant Classic after noting his improved form over the last two starts. Berger posted four rounds in the 60s at TPC Scottsdale for a runner-up finish and followed that with a T12 at Torrey Pines. Glasscott highlighted Berger’s strengths off the tee and tee-to-green—where he ranks fourth on TOUR—and his top-10 total driving metrics, pointing to those factors as keys to contending this week. Glasscott also recalled Berger’s past success at PGA National, including a playoff appearance in 2015 as a rookie and a 54-hole lead in 2022 before a final-round fade, underscoring his track record on the course.

Iain MacMillan considered adding Daniel Berger to his betting card to win the Sony Open at 60 to 1 odds, noting Berger's history of strong performances after long breaks, including winning the first event after the COVID break, and suggesting he may perform well following time off.