Stephen Hennessey selected Rory McIlroy at +950, highlighting that Rory gains nearly two strokes per round on the field at Bay Hill—his second-best venue after Quail Hollow. Hennessey believes McIlroy’s course history and comfort level make him an excellent bet to secure another win in 2025.

Stephen Hennessey called Wyndham Clark at 61-1 a strong sleeper, recalling Clark’s second-place finish at Bay Hill last year. He believes Clark’s proven ability on this long, tough course, along with his winning upside, justifies a bet at these odds.

Stephen Hennessey is fading Xander Schauffele at 16-1, pointing to Schauffele’s first start since the Tournament of Champions in Maui. The extended downtime due to injury, plus limited course success, makes Schauffele too risky at this short price.

Stephen Hennessey took Tommy Fleetwood (-115) over Patrick Cantlay, banking on Fleetwood’s recent run of strong results and comfort on demanding courses. While he admires Cantlay’s form, Hennessey trusts Fleetwood to handle Bay Hill’s tricky setup more consistently at this stage.

Stephen Hennessey recommended Russell Henley for a top-10 at +360, echoing Henley’s own claim that his ball-striking feels as sharp as ever. Hennessey added that Bay Hill’s long rough and tricky greens reward Henley’s strong short game, setting him up for another high finish.

Stephen Hennessey touted Daniel Berger at 25-1, asserting that Berger’s iron and off-the-tee prowess appear fully restored. Hennessey emphasized Berger’s No. 1 standing in strokes-gained/total at PGA National historically and his low ball flight, which suits the Florida winds for a strong showing.

Stephen Hennessey endorsed Nicolai Hojgaard at 55-1, citing his consistent ball-striking and the success of European players at PGA National. Hennessey noted Hojgaard’s strong recent form, which positions him as a potential first-time PGA Tour winner.

Stephen Hennessey advised fading Denny McCarthy at 30-1, pointing out McCarthy’s surprising lack of success at PGA National despite his putting skills. Hennessey believes the track may not align with McCarthy’s eye, adding further doubts to his short odds.

Stephen Hennessey took Shane Lowry (-120) over Russell Henley, referencing data-driven predictions that give Lowry a 70% chance to triumph in this matchup. Hennessey noted Lowry's strong record in windy conditions and comfort competing near his Florida base.

Stephen Hennessey picked Matteo Manassero for a top 10 at +1200, referencing the Italian’s prior success at PGA National from 2013–2014 and his proven record on difficult setups overseas. Hennessey believes this layout could spark a revival in Manassero’s stateside performances.