Andy Lack backed Patrick Cantlay at 28-1, highlighting Cantlay’s top-five finish at Torrey Pines and the 3.5 strokes gained on approach there. Lack expects Cantlay’s putter to heat up and return to the levels that have made him one of the best on the PGA Tour, a key factor on Bay Hill’s demanding greens.

Andy Lack singled out Sam Burns again at 55-1, highlighting that Burns is the best Bermuda putter in this field over the last three seasons. Lack believes Burns’s recent progress off the tee and iron consistency can combine with his putting prowess for a strong sleeper performance at Bay Hill.

Andy Lack is fading Hideki Matsuyama at 25-1 due to worries about his downward trending approach play. Lack argues that Bay Hill’s demanding tee-to-green test punishes even slight ball-striking lapses, making Matsuyama a risky choice compared to other top contenders at similar odds.

Andy Lack likes Ludvig Aberg (-115) over Collin Morikawa, citing Aberg’s power off the tee as a critical edge at Bay Hill’s long layout. Lack mentioned Morikawa’s up-and-down form in 2025, making Aberg the favored side in this head-to-head.

Andy Lack also sees Justin Thomas as a top-10 candidate at +230, citing over 13 strokes gained on approach across his last two starts. Although Lack is hesitant to pick Thomas outright due to spotty putting, he expects JT’s elite iron play to keep him on the leaderboard this week.

Andy Lack recommended Patrick Cantlay at 28-1, noting his top-five at Torrey Pines, where he gained 3.5 strokes on approach and 6 strokes with the putter. Lack says Cantlay could regain his elite putting soon, making him a serious contender at Bay Hill.

Andy Lack backed Russell Henley at 25-1, describing him as the top ball-striker in a weaker field. Lack credited Henley’s middle-iron prowess and his past success at PGA National as core reasons one should trust him to contend.

Andy Lack singled out Ryan Gerard at 80-1 as a solid under-the-radar pick, highlighting Gerard’s 17th-place finish at the Mexico Open where he gained over 1.5 strokes in key ball-striking categories. Lack believes a return to a course where Gerard finished fourth previously could spark another big result.

Andy Lack warned against backing Taylor Pendrith at 30-1, pointing to a notable regression in his approach stats and the reduced importance of driving distance at PGA National. Lack feels the course’s emphasis on irons and putting does not align with Pendrith’s current strengths.

Andy Lack took Daniel Berger at +100 in a head-to-head versus Taylor Pendrith, pitting his pick to win against his fade. Lack cited Berger’s strong play at Phoenix and Torrey, combined with a proven record on southeastern Bermuda courses that downplay driving distance.

Andy Lack pegged Kurt Kitayama at +475 for a top 10, describing it as a prime buy-low scenario after a missed cut in Mexico. Lack pointed to Kitayama’s past third-place result at PGA National and sustained ball-striking this year as signals of strong upside.