John Schwarb said he is picking Daniel Berger at +2800, noting Berger’s Florida roots and strong form, including a T2 at the WM Phoenix Open and a 12th-place finish at the Genesis. Schwarb cited Berger’s two fourths and a runner-up finish at the Champion course, as well as his comfort in potential windy conditions.

John Schwarb said he is picking Eric Cole at +9000, recalling Cole’s playoff loss here two years ago and his encouraging finishes this season (fifth at the Sony Open, T22 at Pebble Beach). Schwarb believes the Florida swing may help Cole regain form.

John Schwarb said he is picking Shane Lowry at +4000 for first-round leader, referencing Lowry’s three straight top-5 finishes at this event and a runner-up at Pebble Beach. Schwarb prefers Lowry’s higher FRL odds to an outright bet this week.

John Schwarb said he is picking Billy Horschel at +200 for a Top 20, citing Horschel’s Florida background, five top-20 finishes at PGA National, and his strong strokes-gained approach ranking this season. Schwarb expects Horschel to thrive on home-state Bermuda greens.