Rick Gehman said Joel Dahmen, priced at $7,000, is returning to form with strong second-shot performance. Gehman cited Dahmen’s T9 at Torrey Pines and T6 in Mexico—both courses that don’t typically suit him—and asserted this event should be a better fit. Gehman believes Dahmen’s improved ball-striking makes him a valuable DFS target.

Mike McClure said he sees model value on Joel Dahmen at +475 for a top-20 finish, citing Dahmen’s improved approach play and strong results at Torrey Pines and Mexico. McClure believes Dahmen’s ball-striking trends and the weaker field present solid upside and make this bet worthwhile.

Jake Friedman endorsed Joel Dahmen at +15000 despite Dahmen's extreme variance in 2025, which has included three missed cuts and two Top-10 finishes. Friedman noted Dahmen’s accurate driving and solid approach play, while acknowledging his short game remains a weakness. However, Dahmen has gained with the putter in four of five starts this year. Friedman believes Dahmen’s high upside makes him worth a bet at these long odds, especially if he can keep the ball in play at PGA National.

Greg said Joel Dahmen is a strong pick this week due to his solid tee-to-green performance and success at similar tracks (including top-10 finishes at Torrey Pines). Dahmen’s average drive of 295 yards isn’t elite, but his accuracy and high rankings in strokes gained tee-to-green over his last 24 rounds give him a realistic chance to contend. Greg noted Dahmen’s recent top-10 at Torrey as proof that Dahmen’s game is trending positively.