Brandon Gdula said Collin Morikawa continues his consistent ball-striking and expects a hot putter to separate him from the field. He emphasized that Morikawa’s distance-based putting splits and consistency with his irons make him a strong outright play at 20-1.

Brandon Gdula backed Collin Morikawa at 20-1 odds, pointing out Morikawa’s consistently excellent iron play despite streaky putting. Gdula believes Morikawa’s ball-striking is good enough to overcome any cold spells on Bermuda greens, giving him a strong chance to claim victory.

Keith Stewart advised fading Collin Morikawa this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, pointing out that Morikawa played to his ceiling last week and may regress in performance. Stewart suggests that after such peak performances, players may not perform as well in the following event.

Justin Van Zuiden advised being underweight on Collin Morikawa in tournaments for the Arnold Palmer Invitational due to his high projected ownership. While acknowledging Morikawa's exceptional ball-striking ability and that you can never argue against him, Van Zuiden suggested that the high ownership makes him less attractive in tournament settings. However, he noted Morikawa could be a good starting point in cash games if not playing Scottie Scheffler or Rory McIlroy.

Rick Gehman expressed concerns about Collin Morikawa's performance at the Arnold Palmer Invitational due to his poor putting history at Bay Hill. Despite Morikawa's solid statistics overall, he has missed the cut in each of his last two appearances here and has lost significant strokes putting in all four of his trips to this course. Gehman noted that while Morikawa needs to hit a ton of fairways to succeed, his historical struggles on these greens narrow his path to the top and make him a less appealing option this week.

Byron Lindeque suggested betting on Collin Morikawa to finish in the top 20 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He mentioned that Morikawa finishes in the top 20 in 60% of his starts over the last 12 months. Although the odds require laying some juice at -175, Lindeque believes this is a solid bet given Morikawa's consistent performance and high ranking in his model.

Redkacheek advised playing Collin Morikawa at $9,800, highlighting his excellent driving accuracy in the 270-310 yard range, which aligns with many tee shots on this course. Morikawa ranks second in the field in driving accuracy at that distance and is renowned for his outstanding iron play. Given that Bay Hill emphasizes accuracy over distance, especially with challenging rough and difficult greens, Morikawa's skill set makes him an excellent fit. His ability to hit fairways and greens provides a significant advantage on this course where precision is key.

Jamie Worsley recommended Collin Morikawa each-way at 22/1 for the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational. He pointed to Morikawa’s strong approach play, ranking 10th in greens-in-regulation and 16th in approach so far this season, including a notable 11th from 200 yards-plus. Worsley also highlighted Morikawa’s proven success on similarly difficult courses such as Muirfield Village and his previous top-10 finish at Bay Hill. With Morikawa’s short game continuing to impress and his form steady across 2025, Worsley expects him to contend for the title at Bay Hill.