Brandon Gdula said Collin Morikawa continues his consistent ball-striking and expects a hot putter to separate him from the field. He emphasized that Morikawa’s distance-based putting splits and consistency with his irons make him a strong outright play at 20-1.

Brandon Gdula likes Sam Burns at 55-1, pointing out his comfort on Bermuda greens and strong short game. Burns is a top-20 iron player over the last 50 rounds, though Gdula cautions that he must keep the ball dry off the tee at Bay Hill.

Brandon Gdula is passing on Tommy Fleetwood at 25-1, explaining that Fleetwood’s recent strokes-gained ceiling isn’t matching the other elite players at the top of the board. Gdula believes the mark is too short considering Fleetwood’s limited high-end performances.

Brandon Gdula took Shane Lowry (-120) over Will Zalatoris, emphasizing Lowry’s edge in both short-term and long-term tee-to-green and putting metrics. Gdula expects Lowry’s all-around consistency to prevail at a challenging venue.

Brandon Gdula called Russell Henley a top-10 value play at +360, noting three top-10 finishes in his past five events. Gdula believes Henley’s form is better than the posted odds, even with Bay Hill not favoring shorter hitters.

Brandon Gdula backed Collin Morikawa at 20-1 odds, pointing out Morikawa’s consistently excellent iron play despite streaky putting. Gdula believes Morikawa’s ball-striking is good enough to overcome any cold spells on Bermuda greens, giving him a strong chance to claim victory.

Brandon Gdula named Russell Henley as a top contender at 25-1, highlighting Henley’s top-15 rankings in both strokes-gained/ball-striking and strokes-gained/short game over his last 50 rounds. Gdula also pointed to Henley’s strong history at PGA National, including a 2014 win, and his accurate driving.

Brandon Gdula advised fading Sungjae Im at 22-1 due to Im’s decline in approach metrics, having lost strokes on approach in four of his last five starts. Gdula also noted Im’s struggles in recent appearances at PGA National, including two missed cuts where he continued to lose strokes on approach.

Brandon Gdula identified Max Greyserman at 50-1 as a dark-horse pick, citing Greyserman’s strong Bermuda putting and recent ball-striking. Gdula’s analysis suggests Greyserman’s historical scoring trends point to one of the highest ceilings in this weaker field.

Brandon Gdula chose Luke Clanton (-105) to beat Rickie Fowler, noting that Clanton has a +0.77 strokes-gained advantage per round over his last 50 rounds. Gdula emphasized Clanton’s superior ball-striking compared to Fowler’s current form.

Brandon Gdula suggested a top-10 wager on Taylor Pendrith at +320, pointing out Pendrith’s strong long-term putting baseline despite recent struggles. With his ball-striking remaining a constant, Gdula forecasted positive regression on the greens.