Brady Kannon said Justin Thomas is being overlooked at the Arnold Palmer Invitational despite his recent form and strong statistical profile. Thomas finished sixth at TPC Scottsdale among three top-10s this season and ranks third in Strokes Gained: Approach and seventh on par 4s measuring 450-500 yards over his last 36 rounds. He also carries solid course history at Bay Hill with progressively better finishes (49th, 21st, 12th). Kannon noted Thomas’s length off the tee and elite scrambling ability as key factors in his potential to contend.

Brady Kannon highlighted Maverick McNealy’s strong recent play, pointing to his two straight top-10 finishes (including one at TPC Scottsdale) as a sign of continued upside. McNealy ranks 13th in this field for Strokes Gained: Approach, 17th in hole proximity from 200-plus yards, and sixth in par 4 efficiency on holes measuring 450-500 yards over the last 36 rounds. Kannon also emphasized McNealy’s success on Bermudagrass, noting he ranks seventh in Strokes Gained: Putting on that surface.

Brady Kannon said Min Woo Lee merits a bet this week, citing the Australian’s track record in windy conditions and strong tee-to-green metrics. Lee has posted three top-20 finishes in four starts this season and ranks sixth in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee over his last 36 rounds. Kannon noted Lee’s length and success at Bay Hill-like setups, referencing his 12th-place finish in Phoenix and an 18th at the 2023 PGA Championship.

Brady Kannon advised a wager on Matt Fitzpatrick, pointing to his proven record on challenging, wind-affected courses, including strong finishes at Bay Hill, Southern Hills, and Olympia Fields. While Fitzpatrick hasn’t replicated last year’s success yet, Kannon noted Fitzpatrick’s comfort playing in windy conditions, his 13th-place ranking in Strokes Gained: Putting on Bermudagrass, and a history of top finishes at correlated venues. With odds nearing 100-1, Kannon views Fitzpatrick’s past success at these setups as offering substantial betting value.