Derek Farnsworth recommended an outright bet on Justin Thomas at +2800. Farnsworth noted Thomas’ comfort playing in Florida due to his ties to Jupiter, collegiate career at Alabama, and Kentucky upbringing. He highlighted Thomas’ best finish at this event (T12 in 2024) and emphasized that Thomas currently ranks 12th in driving distance. Farnsworth also praised Thomas’ elite iron play and short-game prowess, citing his proven track record in strong fields, including wins at THE PLAYERS and two PGA Championships.

Derek Farnsworth identified Patrick Cantlay as an outright bet at +3000, citing his strong recent results (10 straight made cuts with four top-5 finishes) and positive approach stats in his last two starts (gaining 3.5 and 4.4 strokes). Farnsworth highlighted Cantlay’s elite driving and short game, as well as his T4 finish here in 2023 despite losing strokes with the putter. Farnsworth believes Cantlay’s steady all-around play makes him an ideal pick to contend at Bay Hill.

Derek Farnsworth recommended a top-10 wager on Brian Harman at +700. Harman is not a bomber, but Farnsworth pointed to Harman’s consistent off-the-tee play (positive in eight of his last 10 starts) and elite short game as reasons he can thrive on this demanding course. Farnsworth also noted Harman’s recent iron improvements (gaining 4.8 strokes on approach last week and 1.8 the previous event). Additionally, being from Georgia, Harman is at ease on Bermuda grass and has shown the ability to handle strong fields.

Derek Farnsworth suggested a top-10 bet on Cameron Young at +700 after he missed the cut last week when heavily touted. Farnsworth emphasized Young’s elite ball-striking skill set—specifically off the tee and on approach—and pointed out that he’s contended in multiple majors. Young has two top-15 finishes in three appearances at Bay Hill, and Farnsworth expects his power and wedge play to translate into a strong showing in this limited-field event.