Joe Idone recommended betting on Tony Finau at 50 to 1 odds for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, emphasizing Finau's strong performance in tougher scoring conditions. Finau has become a good chipper, ranking first around the green over the last 24 rounds. He is also second in proximity from over 200 yards, which is significant on long courses like Bay Hill. Joe prefers Finau when the winning score is around minus 10, as he excels under challenging conditions. While acknowledging that Finau hasn't always had great results in Florida, Joe believes Finau offers sneaky value at his odds and should be in the 40 to 1 range alongside players like Sungjae Im.