Joe Idone criticized the media's portrayal of Matthieu Pavon's recent performance, stating that despite coverage suggesting Pavon is on a great ball-striking run, he is not performing at that level. Idone expressed frustration that such misinformation can mislead bettors and fans who rely on accurate analysis. He emphasized the importance of relying on informed analysts and accurate data when evaluating players' performances.

Joe Idone criticized the media's portrayal of Corey Conners as a great chipper, stating that this is inaccurate. He expressed frustration that such misinformation can mislead bettors and fans who rely on accurate analysis. Idone emphasized the importance of relying on informed analysts and accurate data when evaluating players' performances.

Joe Idone recommended betting on Tony Finau at 50 to 1 odds for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, emphasizing Finau's strong performance in tougher scoring conditions. Finau has become a good chipper, ranking first around the green over the last 24 rounds. He is also second in proximity from over 200 yards, which is significant on long courses like Bay Hill. Joe prefers Finau when the winning score is around minus 10, as he excels under challenging conditions. While acknowledging that Finau hasn't always had great results in Florida, Joe believes Finau offers sneaky value at his odds and should be in the 40 to 1 range alongside players like Sungjae Im.

Joe Idone recommended backing Shane Lowry at 55 to 1 odds for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, highlighting several reasons for his strong value. Lowry recently finished 11th at the Cognizant, and was third at this event last year. Joe trusts Lowry's ability to hit fairways at Bay Hill and noted that Lowry was second at Pebble Beach, narrowly missing out on a win due to Rory McIlroy's exceptional final round. Lowry ranks number one in proximity from over 200 yards and is second in strokes gained total in Florida. Joe believes that if Lowry had a top finish last week, his odds would be much shorter, making his current odds a great value.

Joe Idone recommended betting on Wyndham Clark at 70 to 1 odds for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, dismissing his poor performance at Pebble Beach as an outlier. He noted that Clark's recent results have been solid, with a 15th at the Sentry, 16th at Phoenix, 31st at the Genesis, and a second-place finish at this event last year with a score of minus 10, which would have been enough to win most years. Joe mentioned that Clark gained nine strokes on approach at Bay Hill over the last two years and is second in wedge proximity. Additionally, Joe highlighted Clark's exceptional performance in the TGL league, where he has been one of the best players. He believes that Clark's improved mentality, confidence, and emotional state, developed through his success in TGL, will translate into strong performance on the PGA Tour. Given his distance, recent form, and boosted confidence, Joe believes Clark is a strong value pick.

Joe Idone recommended betting on Jason Day as a long shot at 80 to 1 odds, expecting to see even 100 to 1 odds available. He highlighted that Day's ball striking has improved, gaining strokes in four out of the last five events. While Day has not been putting well on Poa grass recently, he returns to the fast Bermuda greens at Bay Hill where he has had success, gaining strokes putting in seven of his last eight tournaments there. Joe noted that Day is one of only three players in the field who have won the Arnold Palmer Invitational, with multiple top-20 finishes and a top 10 two years ago. Given his improved form and strong course history, Joe believes Day offers great value as a long shot bet.

Joe Idone advised against betting on Cameron Young for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, expressing concern over Young's tendency to make too many bogeys, often at critical times. Joe believes that the tough conditions at Bay Hill will expose this weakness, making it difficult for Young to contend. He questioned Young's ability to compete against top players like Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler, suggesting that Young's inconsistency and recent form make him a risky bet in this event.