Trenton Pruitt advised betting on Ignacio Bahamondes (-130) against Jalin Turner at UFC 313, citing Bahamondes' clear striking advantage. Pruitt highlighted Bahamondes' superior striking output of 7.17 significant strikes per minute and strong 43% striking accuracy compared to Turner's concerning 59% opponent strike accuracy allowed. Additionally, Bahamondes has shown knockout capability, evidenced by consecutive first-round finishes and Performance of the Night awards against Christos Giagos and Manuel Torres. Pruitt also noted Turner's typical height and reach advantage is neutralized in this fight, with Bahamondes equally tall (6-foot-3) and nearly matching in reach (75 inches versus Turner's 77 inches). With the expectation of a predominantly striking contest and Turner's vulnerability in stand-up defense, Pruitt backed Bahamondes confidently at the current odds.

Trenton Pruitt recommended placing a moneyline bet on Ignacio Bahamondes (-130) against Jalin Turner at UFC 313, emphasizing the substantial statistical advantage Bahamondes holds in striking effectiveness. Bahamondes lands an impressive 7.17 significant strikes per minute compared to Turner's 5.60, and while Turner absorbs 4.57 strikes per minute at an alarming opponent accuracy rate of 59%, Bahamondes absorbs fewer strikes at a lower opponent accuracy (43%). Pruitt highlighted the concerning 59% striking accuracy against Turner, especially problematic against a high-volume striker like Bahamondes. Additionally, he noted that Turner's usual height and reach advantages at 6-foot-3 with a 77-inch reach are neutralized here, as Bahamondes matches him in height and nearly matches him with a 75-inch reach. Considering these factors and Bahamondes' momentum from recent first-round knockout victories and strong takedown defense (85%), Pruitt felt confident in placing a wager on Bahamondes.

Bo McBrayer said Shane Lowry is a great pick at 20 to 1 odds due to his consistent performance at PGA National, highlighted by three straight top-5 finishes. Lowry’s strength in windy conditions and his reputation as a grinder on challenging, shorter layouts suit the breezy setup this week. McBrayer stressed Lowry’s proficiency on Bermuda grass and how his game is well-suited to strong winds and forced layups, making him the favorite in this weaker field.

Pat Fitzmaurice singled out Russell Henley as a dangerous contender at PGA National given his success on Florida tracks with Bermuda grass. Henley placed eighth here in 2020 and third in 2021, and he enters the event with two top-10 finishes in his last three tournaments. Fitzmaurice noted that Henley’s comfort on Bermuda greens and solid approach game make him a serious threat to post a winning score at this course.

Bo McBrayer named Byeong Hun An a surprisingly strong play at 35 to 1 odds, citing his formidable tee-to-green performance. McBrayer noted An’s accuracy and ball-striking consistency as ideal fits for PGA National’s forced layups and swirling winds. The challenging setup at the Cognizant Classic rewards precise iron play, which McBrayer believes An can leverage to outperform his odds in this field.

Bo McBrayer said he is betting on Byeong Hun An at 35 to 1 due to An’s exceptional tee-to-green game and recently improved putting stroke. McBrayer highlighted An’s very accurate driving metrics, calling them “insane,” and noted that An ranks fourth in the field in strokes gained around the green. While acknowledging that An’s approach play can be merely average at times, McBrayer believes his overall ball striking suits PGA National perfectly.

Bo McBrayer declared Jordan Spieth “back” and believes he offers outstanding betting value at 40 to 1. McBrayer cited Spieth’s world-class iron play, especially when able to use more irons and hybrids off the tee instead of a driver. He also stressed that Spieth’s scrambling talents are second to none, making him especially dangerous on a layout that forces layups and punishes inaccurate drives. McBrayer anticipates a strong performance in a softer field at PGA National.

Bo McBrayer recommended Chris Kirk at 65 to 1, citing his strong track record in the Florida swing along with a balanced game. McBrayer noted that Kirk ranks near the top-20 in nearly every key metric he measured, aside from his proximity numbers from 175 to 200 yards. Despite that minor weakness, McBrayer believes Kirk’s consistent ball striking and proficiency on tough courses make him a great value at this number.

Pat Fitzmaurice expressed strong interest in betting on Billy Horschel, pointing to Horschel’s track record of five top-20 finishes and three top-10s in his last eight trips to PGA National. Fitzmaurice emphasized that Horschel thrives on tough layouts, especially in Florida, and expects those course-fit dynamics to help Horschel post another contender performance.

Bo McBrayer said Tom Hoge is an appealing 110 to 1 long shot because of his elite iron play, which is especially important on PGA National’s demanding approach shots. While acknowledging Hoge’s short-game struggles, McBrayer believes Hoge can contend if his second-shot accuracy remains sharp. McBrayer views him as an excellent risk-reward pick to outperform his odds in a volatile field.

Bo McBrayer sees Karl Vilips at 200 to 1 as a promising long-shot pick. He praised Vilips’s scoring ability in difficult conditions and noted that the former Korn Ferry Tour standout possesses significant upside. While acknowledging that Vilips might miss the cut if he doesn’t piece everything together, McBrayer believes the potential payoff makes him worth a speculative wager.

Bo McBrayer highlighted William Mouw as a 400 to 1 outright dark horse and a top-20 bet at +900. McBrayer praised Mouw’s all-around ability and recent success on lower tours, characterizing him as part of the next generation of PGA talent. While Mouw remains relatively unknown to many bettors, McBrayer sees significant value for those willing to take a chance on his upside at PGA National.

Pat Fitzmaurice said Lee Hodges is a solid play at 75 to 1 for the 2025 Cognizant Classic. Fitzmaurice pointed to Hodges’ two top-15 finishes at PGA National in his last three appearances, as well as his two top-10 finishes on the tour this season. He believes Hodges’ game fits this course layout, making him an attractive mid-range betting option.

Pat Fitzmaurice highlighted Eric Cole as a compelling 75 to 1 selection for the 2025 Cognizant Classic, citing Cole’s runner-up finish at PGA National two years ago and his strong performance with short irons. Fitzmaurice believes Cole’s proven track record at this venue makes him an under-the-radar candidate worth considering at favorable odds.

Pat Fitzmaurice said Danny Willett is an appealing long shot at 250 to 1 for the 2025 Cognizant Classic, highlighting Willett’s top-10 finish at the Farmers Insurance Open and multiple solid outings at PGA National in his last two starts. Fitzmaurice noted Willett’s status as a former Masters champion and suggested that bettors could hedge if Willett is near the leaderboard going into the weekend.