Mike Noblin identifies value betting on Atlanta at -120 versus the Padres, centered around having Chris Sale starting, last season's NL Cy Young Award winner. Despite Sale's age (35) leading some bettors to worry about durability, Noblin believes Sale’s elite slider and proven capability to fool hitters will effectively handle San Diego’s lineup. He also slightly prefers Atlanta's bullpen thanks to closer Raisel Iglesias and quality setup men Dylan Lee and Pierce Johnson. Furthermore, Noblin anticipates offensive improvements from Atlanta with the addition of Jurickson Profar providing stability and enhancing a lineup already featuring Marcel Ozuna, Austin Riley, Michael Harris, and Matt Olson, each sporting expected slugging percentages .443 or better. He contrasts this offensive depth with San Diego’s fewer (only three) hitters who meet this threshold, further justifying the bet.