Pat Perry suggested that Scottie Scheffler may not be a strong pick for the Arnold Palmer Invitational due to a decline in his current form compared to last year. Pat noted that Scheffler's ball striking and driving distance are not at the same level as when he was winning tournaments at a high rate. He also mentioned that while Scheffler has had opportunities to win recently, he hasn't shown the dominance he did previously, making him less intimidating in contention.

Pat Perry highlighted Ludvig Aberg as a golfer to watch, noting that he is coming on like a freight train and is set for a big year. According to Pat, after an incredible year last year and a strong start to this season, Aberg was sidelined by illness which led to some poor performances. Now that he has recovered, he has shown he's back to his previous form over the last two weeks. Pat believes Aberg is a strong contender to consider in betting markets.

Pat Perry expressed concern over Xander Schauffele's current performance, indicating that Schauffele isn't playing at his usual high standard. Pat implied that Schauffele may not be a strong pick for the Arnold Palmer Invitational due to his recent form not aligning with expectations.

Pat Perry advised against betting on Tommy Fleetwood at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, particularly at 25:1 odds. He believes that Fleetwood is less likely to win at this event and odds, and might be a better bet in tournaments like the Scottish Open or The Open. Perry noted that while Fleetwood's current form looks good, the odds are not favorable, and he doesn't think Fleetwood should be 25:1 in this field.

Pat Perry advised against betting on Will Zalatoris at 45-50:1 odds for the Arnold Palmer Invitational due to his recent poor form, particularly with his putting. Perry mentioned that Zalatoris hasn't done much of note this year, with middling finishes, and doesn't deserve the current odds. He noted that while the event suits Zalatoris, his putting woes make him a risky bet at these odds.

Pat Perry advised caution against betting on Sam Burns for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Despite Burns often having favorable odds between 30:1 and 50:1 and a perception that he can win, Perry questions whether Burns can actually win in strong fields. He notes that bettors may fall into a 'Burns trap', consistently betting on Burns due to his odds and past perception, but he may not be delivering the expected results.

Pat Perry recommended considering a bet on Keegan Bradley for the Arnold Palmer Invitational due to his strong iron play and positive course history. Perry noted that Bradley's irons were hot at the Genesis Invitational, gaining 4.1 strokes on approach, although he did not putt well. Bradley has played at Bay Hill numerous times and has had good results in the past, including third and second place finishes earlier in his career. Perry appreciates players who consistently return to specific events and suggests Bradley is a solid option at 40-50:1 odds.

Pat Perry advised against betting on Sepp Straka to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational, expressing doubt about his ability to secure a victory. Perry mentioned that while Straka has improved his ball striking and gained a full stroke on approach last week, his putting is a concern. Straka was previously a poor putter but won at minus 26 after a brief period of good putting. Currently, he is hitting the ball well but not putting well, leading Perry to conclude that Straka 'can't win' in the current circumstances.

Pat Perry advised against betting Patrick Rodgers at 22-1 for the 2025 Mexico Open, citing Rodgers’s consistent inability to convert strong showings into actual wins. Despite flashes of promise and several top-10 finishes, Rodgers has repeatedly stalled in final rounds. Pat noted this pattern of near-misses as a key factor raising doubts about Rodgers’s capacity to close out tournaments.

Pat Perry said he loves Jake Knapp at 40 to 1, citing Knapp’s victory at this event last year and his current trending form. Perry noted that Knapp’s top-20 bet is nearly 2-to-1 on DraftKings, which he called ‘almost automatic’ given how well his bomber profile fits this course. He believes Knapp’s strong play in recent starts provides further confidence for another high finish at Vidanta.

Pat Perry singled out Stephan Jaeger at 30-to-1 odds, noting his consistent success at Vidanta World with three top-20 finishes, including a T3 last year. Perry highlighted Jaeger's strong short game, which has helped him gain nine strokes around the green in 12 rounds at this venue. He also cited Jaeger's comfort off the tee and the course's generous landing areas as reasons to back him as one of the shortest bettors can safely target this week.

Pat Perry recommended betting Nicolai Hojgaard at 50/1, citing his bomber profile, strong iron play, and solid putting. Perry contrasted Nicolai with his twin brother Rasmus, noting they share the same DNA yet offer vastly different odds. Although Nicolai’s previous finishes here have not been remarkable, Perry believes his distance off the tee and experience on the DP World Tour provide considerable upside at a favorable price.

Pat Perry expressed confidence in Jake Knapp at 40/1, pointing to a similar trajectory as his lead-up to last year’s victory. Perry observed that Knapp has been trending in the right direction with strong recent finishes, suggesting he could successfully defend his title at the Mexico Open and potentially go back-to-back.

Pat Perry touted Aldrich Potgieter at 60/1, describing him as a 19-year-old bomber who brings ball speeds of around 191–192 mph. Perry emphasized Potgieter’s T15 finish at the Farmers and believes his power off the tee will translate well to this course. As a newer PGA Tour player, Potgieter’s upside and longer odds make him an intriguing bet in this field.

Pat Perry endorsed Justin Lower at 65/1, pointing to his T3 at this event last year and another T3 at the American Express this season. Perry highlighted Lower’s consistent performances and strong fall results as evidence of good recent form, suggesting he offers value at these odds for the Mexico Open.

Pat Perry singled out Hayden Springer at 100/1 after his T6 finish at the Farmers. Perry noted that Springer ranks 12th in the model they discussed and also finished T38 at this course last year. With a steadily improving resume, Springer’s skill set and form could turn him into a longshot contender in Mexico.

Pat Perry advised taking Stephan Jaeger for a top 20 finish at +125, noting that Jaeger has finished top 20 every year he’s played the Mexico Open at Vidanta. Perry believes Jaeger’s consistency and strong track record at this venue makes him a reliable pick to replicate past success.