Mike Noblin recommends betting on the Orioles at -108 versus Toronto due to several key factors. Despite Gunnar Henderson opening the season on the injured list, Baltimore's lineup remains strong, as five hitters—Jordan Westburg, Tyler O'Neill, Ryan O'Hearn, Ryan Mountcastle, and Colton Cowser—each had expected slugging percentages over .436 last season, indicating potential offensive success against Toronto starter Jose Berrios. Noblin questions Berrios' diminished dynamism as an ace relative to past performances. Additionally, he is optimistic about Orioles starter Zac Eflin, highlighting his disciplined pitching approach and low walk rate. Beyond starting pitching, Noblin emphasizes Baltimore's significant bullpen advantage over Toronto, concluding that the price being close to a pick'em is a favorable bet for Baltimore backers.

Mike Noblin identifies value betting on Atlanta at -120 versus the Padres, centered around having Chris Sale starting, last season's NL Cy Young Award winner. Despite Sale's age (35) leading some bettors to worry about durability, Noblin believes Sale’s elite slider and proven capability to fool hitters will effectively handle San Diego’s lineup. He also slightly prefers Atlanta's bullpen thanks to closer Raisel Iglesias and quality setup men Dylan Lee and Pierce Johnson. Furthermore, Noblin anticipates offensive improvements from Atlanta with the addition of Jurickson Profar providing stability and enhancing a lineup already featuring Marcel Ozuna, Austin Riley, Michael Harris, and Matt Olson, each sporting expected slugging percentages .443 or better. He contrasts this offensive depth with San Diego’s fewer (only three) hitters who meet this threshold, further justifying the bet.

Mike Noblin favors betting on the Red Sox at +100 against Texas, impressed with Boston's significant off-season moves and improved pitching staff. Specifically, he praised the addition of Garrett Crochet to Boston’s rotation, highlighting Crochet’s exceptional 35.1% strikeout rate last season with Chicago, describing him as precisely the star-power upgrade Boston's rotation needed. Noblin acknowledges Rangers pitcher Nate Eovaldi positively but points out his advancing age, suggesting a clear pitching edge for Boston due to Crochet. Noblin also slightly favors Boston’s bullpen over the Rangers', and expects Alex Bregman's presence in the lineup to significantly upgrade offensive firepower, preventing teams from pitching around Rafael Devers. He concludes Boston is an attractive value at even money.

Mike Noblin recommends betting on the Orioles at -108 versus Toronto due to several key factors. Despite Gunnar Henderson opening the season on the injured list, Baltimore's lineup remains strong, as five hitters—Jordan Westburg, Tyler O'Neill, Ryan O'Hearn, Ryan Mountcastle, and Colton Cowser—each had expected slugging percentages over .436 last season, indicating potential offensive success against Toronto starter Jose Berrios. Noblin questions Berrios' diminished dynamism as an ace relative to past performances. Additionally, he is optimistic about Orioles starter Zac Eflin, highlighting his disciplined pitching approach and low walk rate. Beyond starting pitching, Noblin emphasizes Baltimore's significant bullpen advantage over Toronto, concluding that the price being close to a pick'em is a favorable bet for Baltimore backers.