Simon Hunter recommended betting on the Kansas City Chiefs at -8 against the Houston Texans, stating he would bet it up to -9 or -10. He believes Patrick Mahomes' playoff impact is not fully captured by models, and that the Chiefs tend to dominate at home in the playoffs.

Simon Hunter suggested there is value in betting the Washington Commanders straight up with moneyline odds of +380 or +400, expecting them to potentially win outright against the Detroit Lions due to Jayden Daniels' exceptional performance.

Simon Hunter expected Detroit Lions running backs David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs to have strong performances against the Washington Commanders, who struggle against the run. He highlighted that Detroit is arguably the best running team in football, suggesting that the duo will be the ultimate combo if Montgomery returns.

Simon Hunter recommended betting on the Washington Commanders +9.5 points against the Detroit Lions. He believes the line is inflated and that rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels is playing exceptionally well, posing significant challenges to Detroit's defense.

Simon Hunter said to bet on the Bills in the second half against the Ravens. He highlights Josh Allen's dominance in second halves, with the Bills having a strong record against the spread in second halves this season (15-2). The Bills' defensive adjustments contribute to their success after halftime.

Simon Hunter said the Buffalo Bills, now positioned as home underdogs against the Baltimore Ravens, are a strong bet. He has ultimate faith in Josh Allen over Lamar Jackson in game-winning situations and notes that all the money and tickets are on Baltimore, making this an ideal spot to back the Bills.

Simon Hunter predicted that the Rams' offense will struggle against the Eagles' strong secondary. He pointed out that Cooper Kupp had only one catch for 29 yards and Puka Nacua had five catches for 40 yards in the last game, indicating issues in the Rams' passing game.

Simon Hunter noted that Matthew Stafford has only played one outdoor game below 40 degrees since 2021 and struggles in cold conditions, which may affect his performance against the Eagles in expected 30-degree weather.

Simon Hunter advised betting on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover the spread against the Los Angeles Rams, even up to -7. He believes the Eagles' physical dominance, especially on the offensive and defensive lines, will overpower the Rams, whose offense is struggling, particularly with quarterback Matthew Stafford's poor performance in cold outdoor games.

Simon Hunter advised betting on the Green Bay Packers -3 against the Miami Dolphins, noting Tua Tagovailoa's poor performance in cold weather (Miami is 0-4 straight up, 1-3 ATS with Tua in cold conditions, failing to cover by 18 points per game) and expecting the cold temperatures (mid-20s) to impact the game.

Simon Hunter suggested betting on the Broncos plus eight and a half against the Chiefs, anticipating that quarterback Bo Nix can have a strong performance and noting that divisional underdogs often cover large spreads against teams like Kansas City.

Simon suggested betting on the Bengals against the spread (+6.5) versus the Ravens. He noted that the Bengals are number one against pressure, while the Ravens' defense ranks 24th. The Ravens' defense has given up 48 explosive plays this season—the most in the NFL—including 28 passes of 20 or more yards. Simon believes the Bengals have a good chance to cover the spread due to these defensive weaknesses.

Simon Hunter advised betting on the Bengals at +6.5 against the Ravens. He believes the line is too high for a divisional game on a short week and notes that Joe Burrow is playing at an MVP level despite the Bengals’ defensive struggles. Hunter also cited historical trends showing that home teams on Thursday nights have struggled to cover large spreads.